Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.155621 0.174904 0.195036 0.217570 0.242036 0.267742 0.296740
2025-01-26 0.129544 0.155617 0.184174 0.217593 0.255445 0.296805 0.345225
2025-02-02 0.113836 0.144816 0.180154 0.223061 0.273347 0.330012 0.398279
2025-02-09 0.098889 0.132766 0.172894 0.223269 0.284122 0.354562 0.441530
2025-02-16 0.088547 0.124859 0.169355 0.226878 0.298209 0.382686 0.489149
2025-02-23 0.081602 0.120285 0.169143 0.233956 0.316165 0.415436 0.542723
2025-03-02 0.072018 0.111217 0.162308 0.231890 0.322173 0.433316 0.578260
2025-03-09 0.064701 0.104405 0.157694 0.232041 0.330508 0.453828 0.617078
2025-03-16 0.057873 0.097564 0.152396 0.230705 0.336476 0.471117 0.651866
2025-03-23 0.053943 0.094483 0.151906 0.235566 0.350448 0.498681 0.699995
2025-03-30 0.048994 0.089396 0.148156 0.235566 0.357660 0.517397 0.736897
2025-04-06 0.044340 0.084307 0.143987 0.234600 0.363282 0.533899 0.770992
2025-04-13 0.039764 0.079051 0.139396 0.233013 0.368278 0.550110 0.805707
2025-04-20 0.036613 0.075816 0.137591 0.235290 0.378621 0.573629 0.850496
2025-04-27 0.034863 0.074775 0.139053 0.242375 0.395894 0.606857 0.908847
2025-05-04 0.031939 0.071393 0.136570 0.243310 0.404224 0.627857 0.950955
2025-05-11 0.029961 0.069506 0.136326 0.247565 0.417390 0.655718 1.002786
2025-05-18 0.028820 0.069049 0.138356 0.255358 0.435888 0.691316 1.065755
2025-05-25 0.025996 0.065103 0.134280 0.253274 0.439502 0.705854 1.099724
2025-06-01 0.023829 0.062204 0.131771 0.253506 0.446487 0.725195 1.140561
2025-06-08 0.021607 0.058947 0.128398 0.252116 0.450845 0.740719 1.176155
2025-06-15 0.020550 0.058005 0.129057 0.257338 0.465450 0.771263 1.233343
2025-06-22 0.018849 0.055490 0.126689 0.257350 0.471856 0.789859 1.273722